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EURUSD Analysis Today: EUR Sends a Warning Signal as Bears Target Lower Levels

EURUSD Analysis Today: EUR Sends a Warning Signal as Bears Target Lower Levels

EURUSD | Technical Outlook

Market Structure – EURUSD Analysis Today

EURUSD analysis today remains decisively bearish after the pair extended its decline toward the 1.1350 support region, continuing the aggressive selloff that accelerated following the rejection from the June highs near the 1.1620 area. The latest downside leg confirms that sellers remain firmly in control, while price continues printing lower highs and lower lows across intraday and higher timeframes.

The broader H4 and Daily structure reflects sustained bearish momentum following the breakdown below several key support levels throughout June. The decline from the 1.1620–1.1600 zone toward current levels near 1.1350 highlights persistent downside pressure, while price remains firmly below major moving averages on H1, H4, and Daily charts, reinforcing the prevailing bearish trend.

Key Resistance Zone

Immediate resistance is located at 1.1380 – 1.1420, supported by:

  • Recent H1 swing highs
  • H4 dynamic resistance area
  • Confluence of short-term moving averages

A confirmed breakout above this zone could trigger:

  • 1.1460
  • 1.1500 (major recovery target)

As long as price remains below resistance, sellers may continue defending rallies and maintaining downside pressure.

Key Support Zone

Immediate support is seen at 1.1350 – 1.1330, which aligns with:

  • Current Daily support structure
  • Recent swing lows
  • Major bearish continuation zone

A breakdown below this level would expose:

  • 1.1300
  • 1.1250 (major bearish extension target)

Holding below resistance keeps the broader bearish bias intact.

Expectations – EURUSD Analysis Today

Bearish Scenario (Primary)

If price remains below 1.1420, sellers may continue controlling market sentiment.

A break below 1.1330 could lead to:

  • A decline toward 1.1300
  • Extension toward 1.1250

The prevailing H4 and Daily structure continues favoring bearish continuation while resistance remains intact.

Bullish Scenario (Alternative)

If buyers manage to regain control above resistance, a corrective rebound could develop.

This could trigger:

  • A recovery toward 1.1460
  • Further upside toward 1.1500

A sustained break above 1.1420 would weaken the immediate bearish outlook and increase the probability of a broader recovery phase.

Outlook – EURUSD Analysis Today

EURUSD analysis today remains negatively biased as the pair trades near the critical 1.1350 support zone after a sharp decline from recent highs. Momentum across H1 and H4 timeframes remains bearish, while price continues trading below major moving averages and lacks a confirmed reversal structure.

A confirmed break below 1.1330 would strengthen bearish continuation risks toward lower support targets, while a recovery above 1.1420 could trigger a corrective rebound before the broader trend direction is reassessed.