EURUSD | Technical Outlook
Market Structure – EURUSD Price Structure
EURUSD Price Structure remains firmly bearish despite the latest stabilization near the 1.1450 support region. The recent recovery attempt follows an aggressive selloff that drove the pair sharply lower from the mid-June highs, but buyers have yet to establish a meaningful bullish reversal, allowing sellers to maintain control across higher timeframes.
The broader H4 and Daily structure continues reflecting persistent downside pressure after the rejection from the 1.1750–1.1800 region earlier this quarter. The sustained decline toward the current 1.1450 area confirms that bearish momentum remains dominant, while H4 and Daily charts continue trading below major moving averages. The sequence of lower highs and lower lows remains intact, preserving the prevailing downtrend structure.
Key Resistance Zone
Immediate resistance is located at 1.1480 – 1.1520, supported by:
- Recent H1 swing highs
- H4 dynamic resistance zone
- Confluence of short-term moving averages
A confirmed breakout above this zone could trigger:
- 1.1560
- 1.1600 (major recovery target)
As long as price remains below resistance, rallies may continue attracting selling pressure.
Key Support Zone
Immediate support is seen at 1.1450 – 1.1430, which aligns with:
- Current Daily support structure
- Recent swing lows
- Key bearish continuation zone
A breakdown below this level would expose:
- 1.1400
- 1.1350 (major bearish extension target)
Holding below resistance keeps the broader bearish trend intact.
Expectations – EURUSD Price Structure
Bearish Scenario (Primary)
If price remains below 1.1520, sellers may continue controlling market sentiment.
A break below 1.1430 could lead to:
- A decline toward 1.1400
- Extension toward 1.1350
The prevailing H4 and Daily trend continues favoring bearish continuation while resistance remains intact.
Bullish Scenario (Alternative)
If buyers manage to regain control above resistance, a corrective rebound could develop.
This could trigger:
- A recovery toward 1.1560
- Further upside toward 1.1600
A sustained break above 1.1520 would weaken the immediate bearish outlook and increase the probability of a broader recovery phase.
Outlook – EURUSD Price Structure
EURUSD Price Structure remains negatively biased as the pair continues trading near the critical 1.1450 support zone. Momentum across H1, H4, and Daily timeframes remains bearish, with price holding below major moving averages and failing to generate a confirmed reversal structure.
A confirmed break below 1.1430 would strengthen bearish continuation risks toward lower support targets, while a recovery above 1.1520 could trigger a corrective rebound before the broader trend direction is reassessed.
